Parma vs Monza prediction

Parma have won two, drawn two and lost six of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 8 and letting in 15. That has them 15th on 8 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, no draws and five defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Juventus away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Cagliari and a 1-0 win at home to Sassuolo.

They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Monza have won two, drawn one and lost seven of ten, with 17 goals scored and 24 conceded, good for 18th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Udinese at home; before that came a 4-1 defeat away at Inter Milan and a 2-0 defeat at home to Catanzaro.

Monza haven't won in three. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Monza: Parma have won one of their last three at home, Monza one of their last two on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Monza also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Parma favourites at 38%, with Monza on 32% and the draw at 30%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.3 for Parma and 1.2 for Monza. Over 2.5 goals is 47% and both teams scoring 52%. Their last meeting, on 15 Mar 2025, finished 1-1.