ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha prediction

So far in the Indian Super League, ATK Mohun Bagan have won three, drawn none and lost one of four, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded, good for 1st place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Minerva Punjab 2-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Chennaiyin and a 2-1 win away at SC Delhi.

ATK Mohun Bagan are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won three of four recently (4 scored, 1 conceded).

Odisha have won none, drawn two and lost one of their three Indian Super League games so far, scoring 2 and letting in 3. That has them 10th on 2 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by NorthEast United; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Inter Kashi and a 2-1 defeat away at Minerva Punjab.

Odisha haven't won in four. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to ATK Mohun Bagan: ATK Mohun Bagan have won three of their last four at home, Odisha one of their last three on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. ATK Mohun Bagan also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make ATK Mohun Bagan clear favourites at 69%, with Odisha on 12% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.9 for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.9 for Odisha. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 27 Nov 2023, Odisha won 5-2.