Sportfreunde Lotte vs Wiedenbrück prediction

Sportfreunde Lotte have won one, drawn four and lost ten of their 15 Regionalliga - West games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 27. That has them 18th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by SG Wattenscheid 09; before that came a 4-1 defeat at home to Sportfreunde Siegen and a 1-0 defeat away at FC Bocholt.

Sportfreunde Lotte haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 9 conceded).

So far in the Regionalliga - West, Wiedenbrück have won two, drawn two and lost 11 of 15, with 19 goals scored and 39 conceded, good for 17th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, no draws and six defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 3.2 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Rot-weiss Oberhausen at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at FC Gutersloh and a 4-2 defeat at home to Borussia Dortmund II.

Wiedenbrück haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Sportfreunde Lotte: Sportfreunde Lotte have won one of their last three at home, Wiedenbrück none of their last two on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Sportfreunde Lotte also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Sportfreunde Lotte favourites at 49%, with Wiedenbrück on 30% and the draw at 21%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 1.9 for Sportfreunde Lotte and 1.6 for Wiedenbrück. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 62%.