Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby prediction

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Gateshead 5-0 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Gateshead and a 2-1 win away at Halesowen Town.

Stafford Rangers are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. At home they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 3 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat York 5-2 at home; before that came a 4-1 win away at Gillingham and a 2-2 draw away at Rochdale.

Grimsby are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Stafford Rangers: Stafford Rangers have won two of their last three at home, Grimsby one of their last three on the road.

We make Grimsby favourites at 48%, with Stafford Rangers on 32% and the draw at 20%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Grimsby still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 1.4 for Stafford Rangers and 2.1 for Grimsby. Over 2.5 goals is 67% and both teams scoring 63%.