Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 prediction

So far in the Liga MX U21, Toluca U21 have won 15, drawn none and lost none of 15, with 36 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 1st place and 41 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 3.0 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Club America U21; before that came a 4-1 win away at Club Leon U21 and a 5-0 win at home to Club Tijuana U21.

Toluca U21 are unbeaten in six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (9 scored, 1 conceded).

Monterrey U21 have won eight, drawn none and lost six of their 14 Liga MX U21 games so far, scoring 31 and letting in 22. That has them 7th on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Club Tijuana U21 3-0 at home; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Guadalajara Chivas U21 and a 2-2 draw away at Puebla U21.

Monterrey U21 are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of three recently (6 scored, 10 conceded).

Home and away form points to Toluca U21: Toluca U21 have won two of their last two at home, Monterrey U21 none of their last three on the road. 18 points separate the two sides in the table. Toluca U21 also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Toluca U21 clear favourites at 61%, with Monterrey U21 on 14% and the draw at 24%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.1 for Toluca U21 and 0.9 for Monterrey U21. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 10 Jan 2026, Toluca U21 won 2-0.