Concarneau vs Fleury 91 prediction

Concarneau have won four, drawn five and lost two of their 11 Ligue 3 games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 11. That has them 7th on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Rouen away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Bastia and a 2-1 win at home to Gobelins.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Ligue 3, Fleury 91 have won four, drawn four and lost three of 11, with 17 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 9th place and 16 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Gobelins; before that came a 1-0 win away at Bourg-en-bresse 01 and a 3-2 win at home to Caen.

Fleury 91 are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won two of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Fleury 91: Concarneau have won two of their last three at home, Fleury 91 two of their last two on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make Concarneau favourites at 42%, with Fleury 91 on 28% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Concarneau still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.1 for Concarneau and 1.4 for Fleury 91. Over 2.5 goals is 47% and both teams scoring 49%. When they last met, on 27 Feb 2026, Concarneau won 4-0.