Burnley vs Charlton prediction

So far in the Championship, Burnley have won one, drawn six and lost six of 13, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded, good for 22nd place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Watford 4-0 away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Derby and a 3-1 defeat away at Swansea.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 4 conceded). A. Barnes, A. Ramsey and B. Humphreys, plus ten others, are all unavailable.

Charlton have won three, drawn five and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 21. That has them 20th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, four draws and two defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Bristol City; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Cardiff and a goalless draw at home to Portsmouth.

Charlton haven't won in six. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 8 conceded). C. Sichenje, M. Godden and N. Chalobah are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Burnley's home form and Charlton's away form. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Burnley also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Burnley clear favourites at 56%, with Charlton on 19% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.8 for Burnley and 1.0 for Charlton. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 7 May 2016, Burnley won 3-0.