Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy prediction

Shimizu S-pulse have won four, drawn two and lost seven of their 13 J1 League games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 22. That has them 13th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Kyoto away; before that came a 4-0 defeat away at Sanfrecce Hiroshima and a 5-0 defeat at home to Machida.

Shimizu S-pulse haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the J1 League, Tokyo Verdy have won two, drawn five and lost six of 13, with 11 goals scored and 22 conceded, good for 17th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they beat V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 away; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Avispa Fukuoka and a 2-2 draw away at Yokohama F. Marinos.

Tokyo Verdy are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Tokyo Verdy: Shimizu S-pulse have won none of their last two at home, Tokyo Verdy one of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Tokyo Verdy also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Shimizu S-pulse favourites at 39%, with Tokyo Verdy on 30% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.2 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.5 for Tokyo Verdy. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 25 Oct 2025, Shimizu S-Pulse won 1-0.