Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction, 22 October 2026

Hoffenheim

Thursday, 22 October 2026

30Half time 1 : 0UEFA Europa League

Lyon

Kramaric 45+4′
Daghim 49′
Hlozek 83′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

46.2%Hoffenheim

23.3%Draw

30.5%Lyon

Double chance

Hoffenheim or draw69%

Either team wins77%

Lyon or draw54%

1.5Hoffenheim2.9expected goals1.4Lyon

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.595%5%

1.579%21%

2.557%43%

3.536%64%

4.520%80%

Both teams to score

Yes59%No41%

GG2+

No81%Yes19%

Team total goals

OverHoffenheimLyon

0.578%76%

1.545%41%

2.521%18%

Clean sheet

Hoffenheim24%Lyon22%

Win to nil

Hoffenheim21%Lyon14%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw23%

WinsHoffenheimLyon

by 123%17%

by 214%9%

by 3+9%5%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals21%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals26%6+ goals10%

Match preview · UEFA Europa League

Hoffenheim vs Lyon: preview and prediction

22 Oct 2026 · 19:00Prezero ArenaHalil Umut Meler

Hoffenheim welcome Lyon to Prezero Arena in Sinsheim on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 19:00. It's matchday 3 in the UEFA Europa League. Hoffenheim go into it 23rd in the table after three games, with Lyon 12th, 11 places higher. Last time out Hoffenheim won 2-1 away at Borussia Monchengladbach, and Lyon beat Nice 2-1 at home.

The forecast

46%Hoffenheim23%Draw31%Lyon

Expected goals1.5-1.4Over 2.5 goals57%Both teams score59%

FormLyonHome and awayEvenThe tableLyonGoalsLyonHead to headEvenTeam newsEven

Hoffenheim: form and key numbers

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Hoffenheim have won one, drawn none and lost two of three, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 23rd place and 3 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they beat Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 away; before that came a 3-2 defeat at home to Besiktas and a 3-2 defeat at home to Hamburger SV.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 7 conceded). A. Hajdari (foot injury), L. Engelns (off the roster) and N. De Cat (knee injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

HoffenheimLast 6 · 2W 0D 4L

18 OctABorussia Monchengladbach2-1W
15 OctHBesiktas2-3L
10 OctHHamburger SV2-3L
20 SeptAPaderborn1-3L
17 SeptAOFI Crete0-2L
12 SeptHStuttgart2-1W

1.5scored a game2.2conceded a game1.0points a game

At home · last 3LLW

Hoffenheim: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Lyon: form and key numbers

Lyon have won two, drawn none and lost one of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 6. That has them 12th on 6 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Nice 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Crystal Palace and a 2-1 defeat away at Lens.

They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded). A. Hamdani (inactive), L. Openda (leg injury) and M. Ouedraogo (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

LyonLast 6 · 4W 1D 1L

18 OctHNice2-1W
15 OctHCrystal Palace3-2W
9 OctALens1-2L
19 SeptHRennes4-0W
16 SeptAAnderlecht2-1W
12 SeptAParis FC0-0D

2.0scored a game1.0conceded a game2.2points a game

Away · last 3LWD

Lyon: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Hoffenheim vs Lyon: match analysis

There isn't much between Hoffenheim's home form and Lyon's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Lyon also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Lyon	3	2	0	1	-1	6
13	Rennes	3	1	2	0	+1	5
···
22	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	+1	3
23	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	0	3
24	Milan	3	1	0	2	-1	3

We make Hoffenheim favourites at 46%, with Lyon on 31% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Hoffenheim still come out ahead.

Goals, recent and expected

1.5Scored a game2.0
2.2Conceded a game1.0
1.5Expected here (xG)1.4

Over 1.579%Over 2.557%Over 3.536%Both score59%

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.5 for Hoffenheim and 1.4 for Lyon. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 59%. Their last meeting, on 7 Nov 2024, finished 2-2.

Last meetings