Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Union Berlin have won one, drawn four and lost three of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 19. That has them 16th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Elversberg 1-0 at home; before that came a 7-0 defeat away at Bayern Munich and a 3-1 defeat at home to Schalke 04.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of four recently (9 scored, 6 conceded). A. Ilic (illness), A. Markgraf (knee injury) and E. Latte Lath (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund have won five, drawn three and lost none of eight, with 14 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 2nd place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Bodo/Glimt away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Werder Bremen and a 1-0 win away at Stuttgart.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded). E. Can (knee injury), G. Konstantelias (knee injury) and J. Lerma (muscle injury) are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Union Berlin's home form and Borussia Dortmund's away form. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. Borussia Dortmund also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Borussia Dortmund clear favourites at 71%, with Union Berlin on 14% and the draw at 15%.

On goals, it expects around 3.8 in the game: 1.1 for Union Berlin and 2.7 for Borussia Dortmund. Over 2.5 goals is 73% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 24 Jan 2026, Borussia Dortmund won 3-0.