Palencia vs Bembibre prediction, 8 November 2026

Palencia

Sunday, 8 November 2026

16:00Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Bembibre

Match result

Who wins?

Tap to add to slip

Double chance

1.9Palencia2.7expected goals0.9Bembibre

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.5

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5

Both teams to score

GG2+

No88%

Team total goals

OverPalenciaBembibre

0.5

1.5

2.5

Clean sheet

Win to nil

Odd or even goals

Winning margin

WinsPalenciaBembibre

by 1

by 2

by 3+

Total goal bands

0-1 goals24%2-3 goals47%4-5 goals23%6+ goals6%

Match preview · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Palencia vs Bembibre: preview and prediction

8 Nov 2026 · 16:00

Palencia take on Bembibre on Sunday 8 November (16:00). Last time out Palencia were beaten 1-0 at Cristo Atlético, and Bembibre drew 1-1 at home with Colegios Diocesanos. Palencia haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

59%Palencia25%Draw17%Bembibre

Expected goals1.9-0.9Over 2.5 goals52%Both teams score50%

FormEvenHome and awayEvenGoalsPalencia

Upset watch

We lean to Palencia (59%), but Bembibre could spring a surprise.

Bembibre have taken 1.0 more points a game than we expected when they were the underdog (last 3 such games).
Bembibre have been doing better than we expected from them lately.

Favourites with a warning like this won about 58% of the time, against 64% with none. It tells you a favourite is more beatable, not who will win.

Palencia: form and key numbers

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Cristo Atlético away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Turégano and a 1-0 win away at Calasanz de Soria.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 2 conceded).

PalenciaLast 6 · 3W 2D 1L

31 OctACristo Atlético0-1L
24 OctHTurégano1-1D
17 OctACalasanz de Soria1-0W
11 OctHSalamanca II5-1W
3 OctAAlmazán2-2D
27 SeptHUD Santa Marta3-0W

2.0scored a game0.8conceded a game1.8points a game

At home · last 3DWW

Palencia: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Bembibre: form and key numbers

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Colegios Diocesanos; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Villaralbo and a 1-1 draw at home to Arandina.

Bembibre haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

BembibreLast 6 · 3W 2D 1L

1 NovHColegios Diocesanos1-1D
24 OctAVillaralbo0-2L
17 OctHArandina1-1D
10 OctAUnionistas II2-1W
4 OctHLa Virgen del Camino2-0W
27 SeptAGuijuelo2-1W

1.3scored a game1.0conceded a game1.8points a game

Away · last 3LWW

Bembibre: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Palencia vs Bembibre: match analysis

There isn't much between Palencia's home form and Bembibre's away form. Palencia also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Palencia clear favourites at 59%, with Bembibre on 17% and the draw at 25%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.0Scored a game1.3
0.8Conceded a game1.0
1.9Expected here (xG)0.9

Over 1.576%Over 2.552%Over 3.529%Both score50%

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.9 for Palencia and 0.9 for Bembibre. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 50%.

Punt-X prediction

Palencia to win59%

Backed by goal difference.

Every market at a glance

ResultPalencia win59%
Double chancePalencia or draw83%
GoalsOver 2.552%
Both teams to scoreNo50%
Clean sheetPalencia41%
CornersPalencia 5.8 · Bembibre 4.210.0 expected
Cards4.2 yellows expectedRed 15%

Frequently asked questions

Palencia vs Bembibre

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Following Home win, Over 2.5 goals, Both teams to score · no