Varzim vs Fafe prediction

Varzim have won three, drawn none and lost five of their eight Liga 3 games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 13. That has them 8th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, no draws and six defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Leça away; before that came a 4-2 defeat at home to Guimaraes B and a 2-1 defeat away at São João Ver.

Varzim haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the Liga 3, Fafe have won three, drawn four and lost one of eight, with 13 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 3rd place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Pacos Ferreira 3-1 at home; before that came a goalless draw away at AD Marco 09 and a 1-0 defeat away at Felgueiras 1932.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Varzim's home form and Fafe's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Fafe also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Fafe favourites at 48%, with Varzim on 23% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.0 for Varzim and 1.4 for Fafe. Over 2.5 goals is 43% and both teams scoring 47%. When they last met, on 4 Jan 2026, Fafe won 1-0.