Celta vs Alavés prediction

So far in the La Liga, Celta have won two, drawn six and lost three of 11, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 10th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Juventus at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Elche and a 4-1 win at home to Sociedad B.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 4 conceded). B. Iglesias (calf injury), C. Starfelt (muscle injury) and J. El Abdellaoui (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Alavés have won three, drawn three and lost five of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 17. That has them 11th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Atletico Madrid at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Athletic Bilbao and a 1-0 defeat at home to Valencia.

Alavés haven't won in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 2 conceded). A. Perez (red card), F. Garces (suspended) and M. Rodriguez (ankle injury) are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Celta: Celta have won one of their last three at home, Alavés none of their last two on the road. The two sides are level on points.

We make Celta favourites at 43%, with Alavés on 30% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.3 for Celta and 1.4 for Alavés. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 50%. When they last met, on 22 Mar 2026, Alaves won 4-3.