Metta / LU vs Mārupe prediction

So far in the 1. Liga, Metta / LU have won 21, drawn three and lost one of 25, with 100 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 1st place and 66 points.

Over the last six matches it has been six wins, no draws and no defeats, averaging 3.5 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Skanste 2-1 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Leevon / PPK and a 3-1 win away at Super Nova 2.

Metta / LU are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (13 scored, 0 conceded).

Mārupe have won ten, drawn four and lost 11 of their 25 1. Liga games so far, scoring 39 and letting in 41. That has them 6th on 34 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Smiltene; before that came a 6-1 defeat at home to Riga Mariners and a goalless draw away at JFK Ventspils.

Mārupe haven't won in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Metta / LU: Metta / LU have won three of their last three at home, Mārupe one of their last three on the road. 32 points separate the two sides in the table. Metta / LU also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Metta / LU clear favourites at 84%, with Mārupe on 6% and the draw at 10%.

On goals, it expects around 5.3 in the game: 4.5 for Metta / LU and 0.8 for Mārupe. Over 2.5 goals is 89% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 18 Jul 2026, Metta / LU won 4-0.