CD Nacional vs Famalicão prediction

CD Nacional have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 19. That has them 15th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Alverca at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Sp Lisbon and a 3-2 defeat at home to Estrela.

CD Nacional haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Primeira Liga, Famalicão have won two, drawn four and lost four of ten, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 11th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, four draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Sp Lisbon; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Estrela and a goalless draw at home to Gil Vicente.

Famalicão are unbeaten in three. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between CD Nacional's home form and Famalicão's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Famalicão favourites at 45%, with CD Nacional on 26% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.0 for CD Nacional and 1.4 for Famalicão. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 49%. When they last met, on 21 Mar 2026, Famalicao won 1-0.