Illescas vs Almansa prediction

So far in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8, Illescas have won four, drawn two and lost three of nine, with 12 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 9th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, no draws and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Manchego away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Huracán Balazote and a 4-3 defeat away at Villacañas.

Illescas haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Almansa have won three, drawn three and lost three of their nine Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 10. That has them 10th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Villarrobledo; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Toledo and a 1-1 draw at home to San Clemente.

Almansa haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Illescas: Illescas have won two of their last three at home, Almansa none of their last two on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Illescas favourites at 39%, with Almansa on 29% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.2 for Illescas and 1.1 for Almansa. Over 2.5 goals is 42% and both teams scoring 48%.