Wingate & Finchley vs Maldon & Tiptree prediction

Wingate & Finchley have won six, drawn four and lost four of their 14 Non League Premier - Isthmian games so far, scoring 27 and letting in 26. That has them 8th on 22 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Burgess Hill Town; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Lewes and a 2-0 win away at Needham Market.

Wingate & Finchley are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of four recently (11 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, Maldon & Tiptree have won five, drawn two and lost ten of 17, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded, good for 17th place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Three Bridges 3-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Eastbourne Borough and a 1-1 draw at home to Dulwich Hamlet.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Wingate & Finchley: Wingate & Finchley have won three of their last four at home, Maldon & Tiptree one of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Wingate & Finchley also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Wingate & Finchley clear favourites at 65%, with Maldon & Tiptree on 19% and the draw at 16%.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 2.4 for Wingate & Finchley and 1.2 for Maldon & Tiptree. Over 2.5 goals is 67% and both teams scoring 59%.