PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta prediction

PSV Eindhoven have won seven, drawn two and lost two of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 35 and letting in 13. That has them 3rd on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 3.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Shakhtar Donetsk; before that came a 3-1 win away at Ajax and a 6-1 win away at Utrecht.

PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Eredivisie, Sparta have won three, drawn three and lost five of 11, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded, good for 11th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with PEC Zwolle; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Excelsior and a 3-3 draw at home to Utrecht.

Sparta haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between PSV Eindhoven's home form and Sparta's away form. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. PSV Eindhoven also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make PSV Eindhoven clear favourites at 83%, with Sparta on 5% and the draw at 12%.

On goals, it expects around 3.9 in the game: 3.0 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.9 for Sparta. Over 2.5 goals is 74% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 11 Apr 2026, PSV won 2-0.