Cardiff vs Watford prediction, 13 October 2026

Cardiff

Tuesday, 13 October 2026

51Half time 4 : 0Championship

Watford

Jack Moylan (P) 11′
Jack Moylan 35′
Matthew Pollock (OG) 41′
Ollie Tanner 45+5′
Callum Robinson 85′

Hector Kyprianou 87′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

54.1%Cardiff

25.0%Draw

20.9%Watford

Double chance

Cardiff or draw79%

Either team wins75%

Watford or draw46%

1.7Cardiff2.7expected goals1.0Watford

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.593%7%

1.575%25%

2.551%49%

3.529%71%

4.514%86%

Both teams to score

Yes51%No49%

GG2+

No87%Yes13%

Team total goals

OverCardiffWatford

0.582%63%

1.551%26%

2.525%8%

Clean sheet

Cardiff37%Watford18%

Win to nil

Cardiff30%Watford11%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw24%

WinsCardiffWatford

by 124%14%

by 217%6%

by 3+13%2%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals25%2-3 goals47%4-5 goals23%6+ goals6%

Match preview · Championship

Cardiff vs Watford: preview and prediction

13 Oct 2026 · 19:45Cardiff City StadiumJohn Busby

Cardiff welcome Watford to Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 19:45. It's matchday 10 in the Championship. Cardiff go into it 17th in the table after 13 games, with Watford 21st. Last time out Cardiff were beaten 2-1 at Blackburn, and Watford lost 4-0 at home to Burnley. Watford are still waiting for a win on the road, with none in their last three away games.

The forecast

54%Cardiff25%Draw21%Watford

Expected goals1.7-1.0Over 2.5 goals51%Both teams score51%

FormEvenHome and awayCardiffThe tableCardiffGoalsCardiffHead to headCardiffTeam newsEven

Cardiff: form and key numbers

So far in the Championship, Cardiff have won three, drawn five and lost five of 13, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded, good for 17th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Blackburn away; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Charlton and a 1-0 defeat away at Bolton.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 2 conceded). C. Chambers, D. Lawlor and K. Bielik, plus two others, are all unavailable.

CardiffLast 6 · 1W 1D 4L

10 OctABlackburn1-2L
19 SeptHCharlton3-1W
12 SeptABolton0-1L
8 SeptHStoke1-1D
5 SeptAPortsmouth0-2L
2 SeptAQueens Park Rangers1-2L

1.0scored a game1.5conceded a game0.7points a game

At home · last 2WD

Cardiff: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Watford: form and key numbers

Watford have won three, drawn two and lost eight of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 23. That has them 21st on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, no draws and five defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-0 to Burnley at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Bristol City and a 2-1 defeat at home to Stoke.

Watford haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 4 conceded). E. Bove, J. Ngakia and K. Baah, plus two others, are all unavailable.

WatfordLast 6 · 1W 0D 5L

10 OctHBurnley0-4L
18 SeptABristol City0-1L
12 SeptHStoke1-2L
8 SeptHPreston2-1W
5 SeptAWest Bromwich Albion0-1L
1 SeptASwansea0-2L

0.5scored a game1.8conceded a game0.5points a game

Away · last 3LLL

Watford: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Cardiff vs Watford: match analysis

Home and away form points to Cardiff: Cardiff have won one of their last two at home, Watford none of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Cardiff also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
16	Lincoln	13	4	3	6	-9	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	-1	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	-4	14
···
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	-10	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	-11	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	-8	9

We make Cardiff clear favourites at 54%, with Watford on 21% and the draw at 25%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.0Scored a game0.5
1.5Conceded a game1.8
1.7Expected here (xG)1.0

Over 1.575%Over 2.551%Over 3.529%Both score51%

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.7 for Cardiff and 1.0 for Watford. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 51%. Their last meeting, on 14 Jan 2025, finished 1-1.

Last meetings