Ascoli vs Sampdoria prediction

Ascoli have won five, drawn four and lost one of their ten Serie B games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 6. That has them 3rd on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Catanzaro 6-1 away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Empoli and a goalless draw away at Sudtirol.

Ascoli are unbeaten in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Serie B, Sampdoria have won two, drawn two and lost six of ten, with 10 goals scored and 18 conceded, good for 19th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Sudtirol; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Arezzo and a 4-1 defeat away at Avellino.

Sampdoria haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of four recently (3 scored, 10 conceded).

Home and away form points to Ascoli: Ascoli have won two of their last three at home, Sampdoria none of their last four on the road. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. Ascoli also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Ascoli clear favourites at 55%, with Sampdoria on 20% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.9 for Ascoli and 1.0 for Sampdoria. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 11 Mar 2024, Sampdoria won 2-1.