Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction

Real Salt Lake have won 12, drawn six and lost 15 of their 33 Major League Soccer games so far, scoring 51 and letting in 51. That has them 11th on 42 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, no draws and five defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Philadelphia Union away; before that came a 3-0 win at home to New England Revolution and a 2-0 defeat away at Seattle Sounders.

They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Major League Soccer, San Jose Earthquakes have won 14, drawn ten and lost nine of 33, with 56 goals scored and 48 conceded, good for 3rd place and 52 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Colorado Rapids; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Portland Timbers and a 2-2 draw at home to Los Angeles FC.

San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to San Jose Earthquakes: Real Salt Lake have won one of their last three at home, San Jose Earthquakes one of their last three on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. San Jose Earthquakes also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Real Salt Lake favourites at 47%, with San Jose Earthquakes on 27% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Real Salt Lake still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.6 for Real Salt Lake and 1.4 for San Jose Earthquakes. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 60%. When they last met, on 27 Jul 2025, Real Salt Lake won 2-1.