Famalicão vs Arouca prediction

So far in the Primeira Liga, Famalicão have won two, drawn four and lost four of ten, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 11th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Sp Braga away; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Sp Braga and a 4-0 win away at Rio Ave.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice.

Arouca have won six, drawn two and lost two of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 7. That has them 5th on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Nacional 1-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Alverca and a 3-3 draw away at CF Os Belenenses.

Arouca are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 5 conceded).

Ten points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Famalicão favourites at 47%, with Arouca on 26% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Famalicão still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.5 for Famalicão and 1.2 for Arouca. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 6 Mar 2026, Famalicao won 1-0.