Swansea vs Burnley prediction

Swansea have won eight, drawn two and lost three of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 13. That has them 2nd on 26 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Southampton away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Wrexham and a 2-0 win at home to Watford.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 0 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Burnley have won one, drawn six and lost six of 13, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded, good for 22nd place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Wrexham; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Bristol City and a 1-1 draw at home to Middlesbrough.

Burnley haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won none of four recently (3 scored, 8 conceded).

Home and away form points to Swansea: Swansea have won one of their last three at home, Burnley none of their last four on the road. 17 points separate the two sides in the table. Swansea also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Swansea favourites at 50%, with Burnley on 24% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.6 for Swansea and 1.0 for Burnley. Over 2.5 goals is 47% and both teams scoring 50%. When they last met, on 15 Mar 2025, Burnley won 2-0.