Arsenal vs Leeds United prediction

So far in the Premier League, Arsenal have won eight, drawn none and lost one of nine, with 14 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 1st place and 24 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Brighton & Hove Albion away; before that came a 4-2 win away at Ipswich and a 2-0 win away at Sunderland.

Three clean sheets in that spell.

Leeds United have won two, drawn five and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 8. That has them 12th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Crystal Palace; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Newcastle United and a 6-3 defeat away at Chelsea.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 7 conceded).

13 points separate the two sides in the table. Arsenal also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Arsenal clear favourites at 68%, with Leeds United on 13% and the draw at 18%.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 2.0 for Arsenal and 0.9 for Leeds United. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 31 Jan 2026, Arsenal won 4-0.