Villarreal vs Napoli prediction

So far in the UEFA Champions League, Villarreal have won one, drawn none and lost two of three, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 19th place and 3 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Real Madrid away; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Levante and a 3-1 win away at Malaga.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 6 conceded). N. Pepe and T. Buchanan both miss out.

Napoli have won one, drawn none and lost two of their three UEFA Champions League games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 7. That has them 22nd on 3 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Frosinone 3-0 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Fiorentina and a 1-0 win at home to Bologna.

Napoli are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded). A. Buongiorno, Alisson Santos and A. Vergara, plus four others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Villarreal: Villarreal have won one of their last three at home, Napoli none of their last two on the road. The two sides are level on points.

We make Villarreal favourites at 49%, with Napoli on 25% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.8 for Villarreal and 1.4 for Napoli. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 63%.