Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction, 24 October 2026

Aston Villa

Saturday, 24 October 2026

21Half time 1 : 0Premier League

Manchester City

Jackson 6′, 60′

Haaland 52′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

21.6%Aston Villa

21.8%Draw

56.6%Manchester City

Double chance

Aston Villa or draw43%

Either team wins78%

Manchester City or draw78%

1.2Aston Villa2.9expected goals1.7Manchester City

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.595%5%

1.580%20%

2.557%43%

3.536%64%

4.520%80%

Both teams to score

Yes59%No41%

GG2+

No82%Yes18%

Team total goals

OverAston VillaManchester City

0.572%82%

1.536%50%

2.514%26%

Clean sheet

Aston Villa18%Manchester City28%

Win to nil

Aston Villa10%Manchester City26%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw22%

WinsAston VillaManchester City

by 113%26%

by 26%17%

by 3+3%13%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals20%2-3 goals43%4-5 goals26%6+ goals10%

Match preview · Premier League

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: preview and prediction

24 Oct 2026 · 12:30Villa ParkPeter Bankes

Aston Villa welcome Manchester City to Villa Park in Birmingham on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 12:30. It's matchday 8 in the Premier League. Aston Villa go into it 10th in the table after nine games, with Manchester City 2nd, 8 places higher. Last time out Aston Villa beat Viking 3-1 at home, and Manchester City beat AEK 5-1 at home. Aston Villa haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

22%Aston Villa22%Draw57%Manchester City

Expected goals1.2-1.7Over 2.5 goals57%Both teams score59%

FormEvenThe tableManchester CityGoalsEvenHead to headEvenTeam newsEven

Aston Villa: form and key numbers

Aston Villa have won three, drawn three and lost three of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 13. That has them 10th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Viking 3-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Newcastle United and a 6-0 win at home to Fenerbahce.

Aston Villa are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (11 scored, 3 conceded). A. Onana (knee injury), A. Wan-Bissaka (muscle injury) and J. Manzambi (calf injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Aston VillaLast 6 · 5W 1D 0L

21 OctHViking3-1W
17 OctANewcastle United1-0W
14 OctHFenerbahce6-0W
10 OctHBrentford2-2D
2 OctASevilla3-1W
19 SeptATottenham Hotspur3-2W

3.0scored a game1.0conceded a game2.7points a game

At home · last 3WWD

Aston Villa: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Manchester City: form and key numbers

So far in the Premier League, Manchester City have won seven, drawn none and lost two of nine, with 20 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 2nd place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 3.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they beat AEK 5-1 at home; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Ipswich and a 4-2 defeat at home to Paris Saint-Germain.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. A. Semenyo (knee injury), M. Kovacic (injury) and M. Nunes (knock), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Manchester CityLast 6 · 5W 0D 1L

20 OctHAEK5-1W
17 OctHIpswich3-2W
14 OctHParis Saint-Germain2-4L
11 OctALiverpool3-0W
20 SeptHSunderland5-3W
17 SeptHNorwich5-0W

3.8scored a game1.7conceded a game2.5points a game

Manchester City: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: match analysis

Nine points separate the two sides in the table.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	9	8	0	1	+9	24
2	Manchester City	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	9	6	1	2	+17	19
···
9	Tottenham Hotspur	9	3	3	3	0	12
10	Aston Villa	9	3	3	3	-3	12
11	Hull City	9	2	5	2	+1	11

We make Manchester City clear favourites at 57%, with Aston Villa on 22% and the draw at 22%.

Goals, recent and expected

3.0Scored a game3.8
1.0Conceded a game1.7
1.2Expected here (xG)1.7

Over 1.580%Over 2.557%Over 3.536%Both score59%

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.2 for Aston Villa and 1.7 for Manchester City. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 24 May 2026, Aston Villa won 2-1.

Last meetings