Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction

So far in the Championship, Wrexham have won three, drawn five and lost five of 13, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 18th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Sheffield United away; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Blackburn and a 4-1 win at home to Preston.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Middlesbrough have won eight, drawn four and lost one of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 30 and letting in 17. That has them 1st on 28 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 2.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Charlton 3-0 at home; before that came a 5-1 win away at Bolton and a 2-2 draw at home to Cardiff.

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (10 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Wrexham's home form and Middlesbrough's away form. 14 points separate the two sides in the table. Middlesbrough also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Middlesbrough favourites at 50%, with Wrexham on 25% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.1 for Wrexham and 1.8 for Middlesbrough. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 7 Aug 2026, Middlesbrough won 1-0.