Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948 prediction

Their last six in all competitions read one win, no draws and five defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Tigres de Alica away; before that came a 1-0 win at home to H2O Purepechas and a 4-1 defeat at home to Deportiva Venados.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 7 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 5-1 to Racing de Veracruz at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Pioneros de Cancún and a 2-0 defeat away at Irapuato.

Zacatepec 1948 haven't won in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Tapachula's home form and Zacatepec 1948's away form. Zacatepec 1948 also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Tapachula favourites at 41%, with Zacatepec 1948 on 35% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Tapachula still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.5 for Tapachula and 1.4 for Zacatepec 1948. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 55%.