Excelsior vs Groningen prediction

Excelsior have won three, drawn two and lost six of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 28. That has them 15th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Ajax; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Utrecht and a 2-2 draw away at Nijmegen.

Excelsior haven't won in three. They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Eredivisie, Groningen have won four, drawn three and lost four of 11, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded, good for 8th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they beat PEC Zwolle 3-0 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Go Ahead Eagles and a 2-2 draw at home to Twente.

Groningen are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 7 conceded).

There isn't much between Excelsior's home form and Groningen's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Excelsior favourites at 40%, with Groningen on 34% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Excelsior still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.6 for Excelsior and 1.5 for Groningen. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 2 May 2026, Excelsior won 3-2.