Toulouse vs Le Havre prediction

So far in the Ligue 1, Toulouse have won two, drawn four and lost three of nine, with 12 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 12th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Lorient; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Lille and a 2-2 draw away at Brest.

Toulouse haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Le Havre have won none, drawn two and lost seven of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 20. That has them 18th on 2 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Angers; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Brest and a 1-1 draw away at Lyon.

Le Havre haven't won in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Le Havre: Toulouse have won one of their last three at home, Le Havre one of their last two on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Toulouse favourites at 50%, with Le Havre on 22% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.4 for Toulouse and 1.2 for Le Havre. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 15 Feb 2026, Le Havre won 2-1.