Stevenage vs Fulham U21 prediction

So far in the EFL Trophy, Stevenage have won two, drawn none and lost none of two, with 8 goals scored and 2 conceded, good for 1st place and 6 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Oxford 1-0 away; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Leicester and a 1-0 defeat at home to Milton Keynes Dons.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 1 conceded).

Fulham U21 have won none, drawn none and lost two of their two EFL Trophy games so far, scoring 3 and letting in 9. That has them 4th on 0 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Stoke City U21 4-1 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Worthing and a 4-2 defeat at home to Brighton U21.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won two of five recently (10 scored, 8 conceded).

Home and away form points to Stevenage: Stevenage have won two of their last three at home, Fulham U21 two of their last five on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Stevenage clear favourites at 70%, with Fulham U21 on 14% and the draw at 16%.

On goals, it expects around 3.9 in the game: 2.8 for Stevenage and 1.1 for Fulham U21. Over 2.5 goals is 74% and both teams scoring 60%.