Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja prediction

Grobiņa have won six, drawn 11 and lost 18 of their 35 Virsliga games so far, scoring 27 and letting in 64. That has them 8th on 29 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Rīgas FS away; before that came a 5-2 defeat at home to Riga and a 3-2 win at home to Ogre United.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the Virsliga, FK Liepaja have won 13, drawn nine and lost 13 of 35, with 49 goals scored and 49 conceded, good for 5th place and 48 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they drew 3-3 with Super Nova; before that came a goalless draw at home to Tukums and a 3-0 win at home to FS Jelgava.

FK Liepaja are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice.

19 points separate the two sides in the table. FK Liepaja also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make FK Liepaja favourites at 53%, with Grobiņa on 18% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 0.9 for Grobiņa and 2.1 for FK Liepaja. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 21 Aug 2026, FK Liepaja won 3-1.