Porto vs Estoril Praia prediction

Porto have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 25 and letting in 4. That has them 1st on 30 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Academico Viseu 1-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Gil Vicente and a 1-0 defeat at home to PSV.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Primeira Liga, Estoril Praia have won none, drawn two and lost eight of ten, with 5 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 18th place and 2 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Moreirense at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Salgueiros and a 2-1 defeat away at Academico Viseu.

Estoril Praia haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Porto: Porto have won one of their last two at home, Estoril Praia none of their last three on the road. 28 points separate the two sides in the table. Porto also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Porto clear favourites at 81%, with Estoril Praia on 5% and the draw at 14%.

On goals, it expects around 3.7 in the game: 3.0 for Porto and 0.7 for Estoril Praia. Over 2.5 goals is 72% and both teams scoring 47%. When they last met, on 12 Apr 2026, Porto won 3-1.