AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction

So far in the Eredivisie, AZ Alkmaar have won six, drawn two and lost three of 11, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 5th place and 20 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Ararat-Armenia 4-0 away; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Cambuur and a 2-1 win at home to Hapoel Beer Sheva.

AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded). J. Clasie (knock), J. Hornkamp (injury) and K. Smit (injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Twente have won seven, drawn two and lost two of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 28 and letting in 10. That has them 4th on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Lincoln Red Imps FC 4-1 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Utrecht and a 1-0 win at home to Thun.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 2 conceded). F. Thorvaldsen (inactive), L. Unnerstall (inactive) and M. Bruns (inactive), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to AZ Alkmaar: AZ Alkmaar have won two of their last two at home, Twente one of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Twente also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make AZ Alkmaar favourites at 51%, with Twente on 28% and the draw at 21%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.8 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.5 for Twente. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 61%. Their last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished 2-2.