Pafos vs Riga prediction
Pafos
Thursday, 22 October 2026
1:1Half time 0 : 0UEFA Europa Conference League
Riga
- Biel 76′assist Sema (76′)
- Caio Ferreira 67′assist Oulad M'Hand (67′)
Pre-match prediction
All predictions
Total goals
Both teams to score
GG2+
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
Pafos vs Riga: preview and prediction
Pafos welcome Riga to Stelios Kyriakidis in Paphos on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 16:45. It's matchday 2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Pafos go into it 27th in the table after two games, with Riga 21st, 6 places higher. Last time out Pafos were beaten 3-1 at Atalanta, and Riga beat Super Nova 2-1 at home.
Pafos: form and key numbers
Pafos have won none, drawn one and lost one of their two UEFA Europa Conference League games so far, scoring 2 and letting in 4. That has them 27th on 1 point.
Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Atalanta away; before that came a 3-1 win away at Anorthosis and a 2-0 defeat at home to AEL.
Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 2 conceded).
- AAtalanta1-3L
- AAnorthosis3-1W
- HAEL0-2L
- AAEK Larnaca1-0W
- HOlympiakos0-0D
- AKarmiotissa3-0W
Pafos: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Riga: form and key numbers
So far in the UEFA Europa Conference League, Riga have won none, drawn two and lost none of two, with 2 goals scored and 2 conceded, good for 21st place and 2 points.
Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Super Nova 2-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Kairat Almaty and a 2-0 win away at Tukums.
Riga are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won four of four recently (6 scored, 1 conceded).
- HSuper Nova2-1W
- HKairat Almaty1-1D
- ATukums2-0W
- AAris2-1W
- AFS Jelgava1-0W
- ASuper Nova1-0W
Riga: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Pafos vs Riga: match analysis
Home and away form points to Riga: Pafos have won none of their last two at home, Riga four of their last four on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Riga also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| ··· | |||||||
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
We make Pafos clear favourites at 66%, with Riga on 15% and the draw at 19%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Pafos still come out ahead.
- 1.31.5
- 1.00.5
- 1.81.2
On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.8 for Pafos and 1.2 for Riga. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 56%.
Their edge comes from their longer record rather than recent form.
Every market at a glance
- ResultPafos win66%
- Double chancePafos or draw85%
- GoalsOver 2.556%
- Both teams to scoreYes56%
- Clean sheetPafos31%
- CornersPafos 5.3 · Riga 4.69.9 expected
- Cards4.8 yellows expectedRed 15%
Frequently asked questions
Pafos vs Riga