Flamengo vs Atletico-MG prediction

So far in the Serie A, Flamengo have won 22, drawn seven and lost four of 33, with 68 goals scored and 28 conceded, good for 1st place and 73 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Estudiantes L.P.; before that came a 3-0 win away at Bahia and a goalless draw away at Estudiantes L.P..

Flamengo are unbeaten in six. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 1 conceded). Danilo (inactive), Evertton Araujo (thigh injury) and G. de Arrascaeta (wrist injury) are all unavailable.

Atletico-MG have won 14, drawn eight and lost 11 of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 44 and letting in 39. That has them 7th on 50 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Atletico Torque away; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Coritiba and a 3-0 win at home to Atletico Torque.

Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded). Everson (foot injury), Fred (injury) and Gustavo Scarpa (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Flamengo: Flamengo have won two of their last three at home, Atletico-MG none of their last two on the road. 23 points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Flamengo clear favourites at 75%, with Atletico-MG on 8% and the draw at 17%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 2.2 for Flamengo and 0.8 for Atletico-MG. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 46%. When they last met, on 27 Apr 2026, Flamengo RJ won 4-0.