Charlton vs Bolton prediction

Charlton have won three, drawn five and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 21. That has them 20th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, two draws and four defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Middlesbrough away; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Norwich and a 2-0 defeat away at Watford.

Charlton haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Bolton have won four, drawn two and lost seven of 13, with 18 goals scored and 26 conceded, good for 19th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Bristol City at home; before that came a 5-1 defeat at home to Middlesbrough and a goalless draw away at Southampton.

Bolton haven't won in three. On the road they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Bolton: Charlton have won none of their last two at home, Bolton two of their last three on the road. The two sides are level on points. Bolton also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Charlton favourites at 41%, with Bolton on 32% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Charlton still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.4 for Charlton and 1.4 for Bolton. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 21 Jan 2025, Charlton won 2-1.