Navalcarnero vs Real Betis prediction

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Numancia 3-2 away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Salamanca UDS and a 2-2 draw away at Recreativo Huelva.

Navalcarnero are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Celta; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Feyenoord and a 5-2 defeat at home to Barcelona.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Navalcarnero: Navalcarnero have won one of their last two at home, Real Betis none of their last two on the road. Navalcarnero also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Real Betis clear favourites at 66%, with Navalcarnero on 18% and the draw at 16%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Real Betis still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.1 for Navalcarnero and 2.3 for Real Betis. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 60%.