Andes vs Covadonga prediction

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Ceares away; before that came a 3-3 draw at home to Astur and a 1-1 draw away at Llanes.

Andes haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 6 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Condal; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Valladolid and a 2-0 win away at Gijón Industrial.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Covadonga: Andes have won none of their last two at home, Covadonga one of their last two on the road. Covadonga also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Covadonga clear favourites at 59%, with Andes on 19% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 0.9 for Andes and 1.9 for Covadonga. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 50%.