West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham prediction

West Bromwich Albion have won seven, drawn three and lost three of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 14. That has them 4th on 24 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Wolverhampton Wanderers away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Queens Park Rangers and a 1-0 win away at Derby.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Birmingham have won six, drawn five and lost two of 13, with 23 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 6th place and 23 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Middlesbrough; before that came a 2-1 win away at Derby and a 2-1 defeat away at Norwich.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between West Bromwich Albion's home form and Birmingham's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make West Bromwich Albion favourites at 40%, with Birmingham on 31% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, West Bromwich Albion still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.4 for West Bromwich Albion and 1.3 for Birmingham. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 54%. Their last meeting, on 10 Feb 2026, finished 0-0.