ST Johnstone vs Falkirk prediction

So far in the Premiership, ST Johnstone have won three, drawn five and lost four of 12, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 7th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Celtic at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Hibernian and a 1-1 draw away at Dundee.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 5 conceded).

Falkirk have won five, drawn three and lost four of their 12 Premiership games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 12. That has them 4th on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Hearts 2-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Dundee United and a 2-1 defeat at home to Rangers.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to ST Johnstone: ST Johnstone have won two of their last three at home, Falkirk none of their last three on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make ST Johnstone favourites at 43%, with Falkirk on 28% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.5 for ST Johnstone and 1.1 for Falkirk. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 5 May 2010, finished 0-0.