Preston vs Southampton prediction

So far in the Championship, Preston have won one, drawn two and lost 11 of 14, with 12 goals scored and 30 conceded, good for 24th place and 5 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, one draw and five defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 2.5 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Sheffield United at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Stoke and a 1-1 draw at home to West Bromwich Albion.

Preston haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Southampton have won eight, drawn four and lost two of their 14 Championship games so far, scoring 29 and letting in 14. That has them 6th on 24 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with West Bromwich Albion; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Queens Park Rangers and a 3-2 win away at West Ham United.

Southampton are unbeaten in six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Southampton: Preston have won none of their last three at home, Southampton two of their last three on the road. 19 points separate the two sides in the table. Southampton also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Southampton clear favourites at 59%, with Preston on 19% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 0.8 for Preston and 2.4 for Southampton. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 50%. When they last met, on 2 May 2026, Southampton won 3-1.