Valenciennes vs Orleans prediction

So far in the Ligue 3, Valenciennes have won two, drawn three and lost six of 11, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 15th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Cannes away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Amiens and a 1-0 defeat away at Versailles.

Valenciennes haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Orleans have won two, drawn four and lost five of their 11 Ligue 3 games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 15. That has them 14th on 10 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Villefranche; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Quevilly and a 1-1 draw away at Bastia.

Orleans haven't won in six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Valenciennes: Valenciennes have won one of their last three at home, Orleans none of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Valenciennes also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Valenciennes favourites at 41%, with Orleans on 29% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.2 for Valenciennes and 1.2 for Orleans. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 50%. When they last met, on 22 Nov 2019, Valenciennes won 1-0.