Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen prediction

Qingdao Hainiu have won six, drawn three and lost 20 of their 29 Super League games so far, scoring 34 and letting in 62. That has them 16th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, no draws and six defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Chongqing Tonglianglong away; before that came a 4-0 defeat at home to Liaoning and a 3-0 defeat at home to Beijing Guoan.

Qingdao Hainiu haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 12 conceded).

So far in the Super League, Shenzhen have won nine, drawn five and lost 15 of 29, with 39 goals scored and 51 conceded, good for 11th place and 32 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Dalian Yingbo and a 2-2 draw at home to Henan Songshan Longmen.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Shenzhen: Qingdao Hainiu have won none of their last three at home, Shenzhen none of their last two on the road. 18 points separate the two sides in the table. Shenzhen also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Shenzhen clear favourites at 59%, with Qingdao Hainiu on 21% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.6 for Qingdao Hainiu and 1.6 for Shenzhen. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 60%. When they last met, on 30 May 2026, Shenzhen won 3-2.