Erbil vs Al-Ettifaq prediction

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Zakho away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Mosul and a 5-4 defeat away at Ajman.

Erbil haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 3 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Al Kholood 3-0 away; before that came a 4-1 defeat at home to Al-Ittihad FC and a 1-0 win away at NEOM.

They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Al-Ettifaq: Erbil have won none of their last two at home, Al-Ettifaq two of their last three on the road. Al-Ettifaq also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Erbil clear favourites at 54%, with Al-Ettifaq on 27% and the draw at 19%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Erbil still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 2.1 for Erbil and 1.3 for Al-Ettifaq. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 54%.