Palmeiras vs São Paulo prediction

So far in the Serie A, Palmeiras have won 20, drawn ten and lost three of 33, with 56 goals scored and 22 conceded, good for 2nd place and 70 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat LDU de Quito 1-0 at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Botafogo RJ and a 1-1 draw away at Mirassol.

Palmeiras are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 1 conceded).

São Paulo have won 12, drawn seven and lost 14 of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 39 and letting in 39. That has them 10th on 43 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Boca Juniors away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Atletico-MG and a 2-1 win at home to Bragantino.

They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Palmeiras: Palmeiras have won two of their last three at home, São Paulo none of their last three on the road. 27 points separate the two sides in the table. Palmeiras also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Palmeiras clear favourites at 62%, with São Paulo on 15% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.9 for Palmeiras and 0.8 for São Paulo. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 22 Mar 2026, Palmeiras won 1-0.