AS Roma vs Genoa prediction, 17 October 2026

AS Roma

Saturday, 17 October 2026

20Half time 0 : 0Serie A

Genoa

Castro 50′
Lulli 68′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

69.8%AS Roma

19.1%Draw

11.1%Genoa

Double chance

AS Roma or draw89%

Either team wins81%

Genoa or draw30%

2.7AS Roma3.4expected goals0.7Genoa

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.596%4%

1.583%17%

2.564%36%

3.544%56%

4.528%72%

Both teams to score

Yes46%No54%

GG2+

No89%Yes11%

Team total goals

OverAS RomaGenoa

0.591%50%

1.572%16%

2.549%4%

Clean sheet

AS Roma50%Genoa9%

Win to nil

AS Roma44%Genoa6%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw19%

WinsAS RomaGenoa

by 117%9%

by 216%2%

by 3+37%1%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals17%2-3 goals39%4-5 goals28%6+ goals16%

Match preview · Serie A

AS Roma vs Genoa: preview and prediction

17 Oct 2026 · 19:45Stadio OlimpicoRosario Abisso

AS Roma welcome Genoa to Stadio Olimpico in Rome on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 19:45. It's matchday 7 in the Serie A. AS Roma go into it 3rd in the table after ten games, with Genoa 11th, 8 places lower. Last time out AS Roma lost 4-3 at home to Real Madrid, and Genoa beat Fiorentina 2-1 at home.

The forecast

70%AS Roma19%Draw11%Genoa

Expected goals2.7-0.7Over 2.5 goals64%Both teams score46%

FormEvenHome and awayAS RomaThe tableAS RomaGoalsAS RomaHead to headAS RomaTeam newsEven

AS Roma: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, AS Roma have won seven, drawn three and lost none of ten, with 28 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 3rd place and 24 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 4-3 to Real Madrid at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Como and a 2-2 draw at home to Inter Milan.

AS Roma haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (7 scored, 7 conceded). B. Cristante (knee injury), D. Malen (red card) and M. Bah (knee injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

AS RomaLast 6 · 2W 3D 1L

14 OctHReal Madrid3-4L
11 OctAComo0-0D
19 SeptHInter Milan2-2D
14 SeptATorino2-0W
10 SeptAFenerbahce1-1D
5 SeptHAtalanta2-1W

1.7scored a game1.3conceded a game1.5points a game

At home · last 3LDW

AS Roma: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Genoa: form and key numbers

Genoa have won four, drawn one and lost five of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 14. That has them 11th on 13 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Fiorentina 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at FC Rapid Bucuresti and a 2-1 defeat away at Parma.

On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 4 conceded). Amorim (ankle injury), D. Sow (injury) and E. Havel (ankle injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

GenoaLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

10 OctHFiorentina2-1W
2 OctAFC Rapid Bucuresti0-2L
20 SeptAParma1-2L
15 SeptHSudtirol1-0W
12 SeptHFrosinone1-1D
4 SeptHComo1-4L

1.0scored a game1.7conceded a game1.2points a game

Away · last 2LL

Genoa: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

AS Roma vs Genoa: match analysis

Home and away form points to AS Roma: AS Roma have won one of their last three at home, Genoa none of their last two on the road. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. AS Roma also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	+18	24
4	Como	10	7	2	1	+10	23
···
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	-2	13
11	Genoa	10	4	1	5	-4	13
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13

We make AS Roma clear favourites at 70%, with Genoa on 11% and the draw at 19%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.7Scored a game1.0
1.3Conceded a game1.7
2.7Expected here (xG)0.7

Over 1.583%Over 2.564%Over 3.544%Both score46%

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 2.7 for AS Roma and 0.7 for Genoa. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 46%. When they last met, on 8 Mar 2026, Genoa won 2-1.

Last meetings