Catania vs Sorrento prediction

Catania have won six, drawn one and lost five of their 12 Serie C - Girone C games so far, scoring 24 and letting in 13. That has them 5th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Audace Cerignola away; before that came a 6-0 win at home to Giugliano and a 2-1 defeat away at Potenza.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (8 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Serie C - Girone C, Sorrento have won six, drawn two and lost four of 12, with 16 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 4th place and 20 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Team Altamura at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Savoia and a 1-1 draw away at Inter U23.

Sorrento haven't won in five. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Catania: Catania have won two of their last two at home, Sorrento none of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Catania also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Catania favourites at 47%, with Sorrento on 26% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.7 for Catania and 0.9 for Sorrento. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 50%. When they last met, on 31 Jan 2026, Sorrento won 3-1.