Monaco vs Lens prediction

Monaco have won four, drawn three and lost two of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 10. That has them 7th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Strasbourg; before that came a 2-1 win away at Paris Saint-Germain and a 2-0 win at home to Marseille.

Monaco are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Ligue 1, Lens have won four, drawn one and lost four of nine, with 16 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 9th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.5 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Le Mans; before that came a 3-2 win away at Slavia Praha and a 1-0 defeat at home to Lorient.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won two of four recently (10 scored, 6 conceded).

There isn't much between Monaco's home form and Lens's away form. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Lens also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Monaco favourites at 40%, with Lens on 33% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Monaco still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.7 for Monaco and 1.6 for Lens. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 64%. When they last met, on 21 Feb 2026, Monaco won 3-2.