Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction, 25 October 2026

Manchester United

Sunday, 25 October 2026

03Half time 0 : 2Premier League

Bournemouth

Rayan 38′
Tavernier 43′
Evanilson 71′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

49.7%Manchester United

23.7%Draw

26.5%Bournemouth

Double chance

Manchester United or draw73%

Either team wins76%

Bournemouth or draw50%

1.7Manchester United3.0expected goals1.3Bournemouth

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.595%5%

1.581%19%

2.559%41%

3.538%62%

4.521%79%

Both teams to score

Yes61%No39%

GG2+

No81%Yes19%

Team total goals

OverManchester UnitedBournemouth

0.583%74%

1.551%38%

2.526%16%

Clean sheet

Manchester United26%Bournemouth17%

Win to nil

Manchester United23%Bournemouth12%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw24%

WinsManchester UnitedBournemouth

by 123%15%

by 215%7%

by 3+12%4%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals19%2-3 goals43%4-5 goals27%6+ goals11%

Match preview · Premier League

Manchester United vs Bournemouth: preview and prediction

25 Oct 2026 · 14:00Old TraffordJarred Gillett

Manchester United welcome Bournemouth to Old Trafford in Manchester on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:00. It's matchday 8 in the Premier League. Manchester United go into it 17th in the table after nine games, with Bournemouth 8th, 9 places higher. Last time out Manchester United were beaten 4-1 at Como, and Bournemouth beat AC Milan 3-0 at home.

The forecast

50%Manchester United24%Draw27%Bournemouth

Expected goals1.7-1.3Over 2.5 goals59%Both teams score61%

FormBournemouthHome and awayBournemouthThe tableBournemouthGoalsBournemouthHead to headEvenTeam newsBournemouth

Manchester United: form and key numbers

So far in the Premier League, Manchester United have won one, drawn four and lost four of nine, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 17th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Como away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Leeds United and a 2-0 defeat away at Atletico Madrid.

Manchester United haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded). B. Sesko (leg injury), K. Mainoo (injury) and L. Martinez (muscle injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Manchester UnitedLast 6 · 0W 3D 3L

21 OctAComo1-4L
18 OctALeeds United1-1D
13 OctAAtletico Madrid0-2L
10 OctHTottenham Hotspur1-1D
20 SeptAFulham1-1D
16 SeptHBrighton & Hove Albion2-3L

1.0scored a game2.0conceded a game0.5points a game

At home · last 2DL

Manchester United: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Bournemouth: form and key numbers

Bournemouth have won three, drawn three and lost three of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 13. That has them 8th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat AC Milan 3-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Sunderland and a 3-0 win at home to Sturm Graz.

Bournemouth are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 6 conceded). A. Scott (thigh injury), A. Toth (muscle injury) and E. J. Kroupi (foot injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

BournemouthLast 6 · 4W 0D 2L

22 OctHAC Milan3-0W
18 OctHSunderland2-0W
15 OctHSturm Graz3-0W
10 OctAChelsea1-5L
20 SeptHLiverpool0-1L
17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1W

1.8scored a game1.2conceded a game2.0points a game

Away · last 2LW

Bournemouth: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Manchester United vs Bournemouth: match analysis

Home and away form points to Bournemouth: Manchester United have won none of their last two at home, Bournemouth one of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Bournemouth also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Everton	9	3	4	2	0	13
8	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Tottenham Hotspur	9	3	3	3	0	12
···
16	Coventry City	9	3	0	6	-7	9
17	Manchester United	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	-12	7

We make Manchester United favourites at 50%, with Bournemouth on 27% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Manchester United still come out ahead.

Goals, recent and expected

1.0Scored a game1.8
2.0Conceded a game1.2
1.7Expected here (xG)1.3

Over 1.581%Over 2.559%Over 3.538%Both score61%

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.7 for Manchester United and 1.3 for Bournemouth. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 61%. Their last meeting, on 20 Mar 2026, finished 2-2.

Last meetings